Asia spending again after global turmoil

HONG KONG: Laden with colorful bags full of gifts, Andy Xu makes his way through Hong Kong’s jam-packed Causeway Bay shopping district apparently unfazed by the past year’s global economic crisis.

The 30-year-old marketing manager from mainland China plans to splash out between $4,000 and $5,000 on presents for friends and family for Christmas and the blockbuster Chinese New Year celebrations.

“My income and spending habits haven’t really been affected by the economy,” he told Agence France-Presse.

Xu is not hunting for bargain-basement priced items either.

His sights are firmly set on luxury goods, making him a dream come true for high-end retailers such as men’s fashion chain Brooks Brothers.

“Business is good,” said an employee at one of the retailer’s stores in the southern Chinese city. “We are getting more mainland customers this year.”

Uptrend in spending

One year after a financial crisis wrought devastation on the world’s economy and pounded retail sales, shoppers in Asia are cautiously loosening their purse strings.

From India and Taiwan to Indonesia and Korea, improving consumer sentiment is driving a general uptrend in spending amid stronger economic data.

And low retailer inventories mean shops likely won’t be slashing prices in a desperate bid to lure customers, said Aaron Fischer, head of consumer and gaming research at brokerage CLSA in Hong Kong.

“Retail sales have been quite strong pretty well across the region, except for Japan,” he said. “The main reason is consumer confidence is pretty high.”

Industrial activity in Chinese factories has picked up after millions of workers were laid off last year, with toy makers in particular rushing to fill Christmas orders from the United States.

“Christmas orders this year should be better than last year as the sentiment last year was very bad,” said Ren Xianfang, a Beijing-based analyst with IHS Global Insight, pointing to a recovery in industrial production since September.

Good Christmas

Russell Zimmerman, executive director of the Australian Retailers Association, echoed that feeling. He said that he expected retail sales this year to hit almost 39 billion Australian dollars (US$35 billion).

The figure is 4.7 percent higher than in 2008, despite several interest-rate increases, Zimmerman said.

“We think it is going to be a good Christmas, but we would probably have had a great Christmas if we hadn’t had those three interest-rate rises,” he added.

In Singapore, the glitzy Ion Orchard mall has drawn 22 million shoppers since opening its doors in July, according to a spokeswoman.

“The past year has been a difficult one for many Singaporeans, but we’re already seeing signs of recovery with reports of improvements in the labor market this quarter,” she said.

Unhappy holidays

Still, Thailand’s retail sales have drooped in 2009, and the story isn’t much better in Japan where price-chopping retailers are fighting to woo unenthusiastic shoppers through the door.

As the country crawls out of its worst post-war recession, Japanese consumers are keeping a tight grip on their wallets, although some say they won’t let the financial gloom dampen the holiday spirit.

Housewife Akemi Oura, 63, said she would have to watch her gift budget, but still plans to treat herself.

“Probably I will spend just as much as I did last year [on myself]. But for presents, I will probably keep my budget under about 10,000 yen [$112 dollars],” she said as she strolled through the upmarket Ginza shopping district.

Oura’s caution may remain for some time as the Japanese economy lags behind that of neighboring countries.

“It’s been really tough in Japan for some time,” said Fischer of CLSA in Hong Kong. “Japan hasn’t been enjoying the kind of recovery we’ve seen in the rest of the region.”

Cautious Chinese

Even in Hong Kong, a key factor behind the boost in retail sales has been mainland Chinese—not locals—flocking to the city to spend their hard-earned yuan.

Since the end of November, throngs of mainland Chinese have booked holiday shopping trips to Hong Kong and nearby Macau.

Recent economic data, including falling unemployment may suggest better times are ahead for Hong Kong, but 28-year-old Hong Kong born Candice is not rushing to the ATM machine.

“Even though the economy is doing better, it’s not time to splurge,” she said.

“It is better to be cautious.” –AFP