PH economy stronger if peso-dollar rate at 50:1

Published by rudy Date posted on August 21, 2012

MANILA, Philippines – With exporters hurting from the strong peso, economists and consumer groups are pushing for the gradual depreciation of the peso to around P50 to the US dollar.

In a briefing on Foreign Exchange Management by multisectoral group Competitive Currency Forum, University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) economist Victor Abola said the government should allow the peso to depreciate by around 20 centavos every month.

In a briefing on Foreign Exchange Management by multisectoral group Competitive Currency Forum, University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) economist Victor Abola said the government should allow the peso to depreciate by around 20 centavos every month.

Abola said this is needed because he believes that the peso is overvalued by 20% to 30%. Export groups said this has caused half of the country’s small exporters to close shop.

“I believe that the peso is 20 to 30% overvalued. The peso should be around 50 to $1 to make the country competitive as India, whose exchange rate is at 55 to a $1,” Abola explained.

Weaker peso, stronger growth

For a consumption-driven economy like that of the Philippines, a weaker currency would be able to drive economic growth. Abola said a 1% depreciation in the currency would translate into a 0.3 percentage point increase in gross domestic product (GDP).

This means that if GDP growth is at 3% and the peso depreciates by a percent, this would increase the actual growth rate of the economy to 3.3%.

Abola cited data provided by former dean of the University of the Philippines Raul Fabella during the forum showing India’s depreciated currency allowed it to continue being competitive, particularly in the business process outsourcing business.

“I’m not saying depreciate it now. All I’m saying is gradual but you declare to the market that you want it to be competitive, the exchange rate,” Abola said. “As Dr. Fabella has shown, we can afford to depreciate the currency with little inflationary effects, India cannot do it because it has a lot of debt.” – Cai U. Ordinario, Rappler.com

July 2025

Nutrition Month
“Give us much more than P50 increase
for proper nutrition!”

Invoke Article 33 of the ILO Constitution
against the military junta in Myanmar
to carry out the 2021 ILO Commission of Inquiry recommendations
against serious violations of
Forced Labour and Freedom of Association protocols.

Accept National Unity Government (NUG)
of Myanmar.  Reject Military!

#WearMask #WashHands #Distancing #TakePicturesVideosturesVideos

Time to support & empower survivors. Time to spark a global conversation. Time for #GenerationEquality to #orangetheworld!

July


3 July – International Day of Cooperatives
3 Ju
ly – International Plastic Bag Free Day
 
5 July –
World Youth Skills Day 
7 July – Global Forgiveness Day
11 July – World Population Day 
17 July – World Day for
International Justice
28 July – World Nature Conservation Day
30 July – World Day against Trafficking in Persons 


Monthly Observances:

Schools Safety Month

Nutrition Month
National Disaster Consciousness Month

Weekly Observances:

Week 2: Cultural Communities Week
Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprise
Development Week
Week 3: National Science and
Technology Week
National Disability Prevention and
Rehabilitation Week
July 1-7:
National Culture Consciousness Week
July 13-19:
Philippines Business Week
Week ending last Saturday of July:
Arbor Week

 

Daily Observances:

First Saturday of July:
International Cooperative Day
in the Philippines

Categories

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Ut elit tellus, luctus nec ullamcorper mattis, pulvinar dapibus leo.